RED ALERT to EU Citizens: Don Crash Helmet Before Systemic Collapse

Friday, June 12, 2009

My initial task for the day - updating and extending this list of silver mining companies - has suddenly become a less important priority. Bloomberg writer Meera Louis (compliments!) put a story on the true potential cost for the bailout of the EU banking sector on the wire that makes me look for my golden crash helmet.
According to Ms Louis,
European governments have approved $5.3 trillion of aid, more than the annual gross domestic product of Germany, to support banks during the credit crunch, according to a (confidential) European Union document.
Let me first move up the number table that says it all, before shamelessly copying the rest of this outstanding piece of investigative journalism into this blog post.
Ms. Louis compiled this hitlist of government commitments that include capital injections, guarantees granted, effective asset relief and liquidity interventions. All figures are in billions of Euros.
  1. United Kingdom___781.2
  2. Denmark________593.9
  3. Germany________554.2
  4. Ireland_________384.5
  5. France__________350.1
  6. Belgium_________264.5
  7. Netherlands______246.1
  8. Austria__________165
  9. Sweden__________142
  10. Spain___________130

Every Austrian May Have to Pay €19,600 to Salvage Banks
Short national intercept: The potential cost for every one of Austria's 8 million citizen - from baby to octogenarian - has just risen from €12,500 to €19,600. This news has gone completely unnoticed in Austrian MSM (mainstream media) which busy themselves with repeating the bla-bla of domestic politicians because the far right makes inroads in the constituencies of social democrats and christian conservatives (these two are like Coke and Pepsi.)
On with the truly costly issues that may doom the Europe as we know it today, potentially relegating it to a supra-nation of beggars that lack resources, energy, capital and face a flip-flop of the age pyramid while still burdened by the highest labour costs in the world.
As Bloomberg scooper Meera Louis writes,
The measures, designed to save banks and revive economic growth, surpass Germany's $3.3 trillion economy, the region’s biggest. They also helped to widen the Euro area’s budget deficit to the most in three years in 2008. The commission, the EU’s executive arm, is seeking to create the first EU-wide agencies with rule-making powers to monitor risk in the economy after the crisis led to $460 billion of losses and writedowns across the continent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
"The operating environment for banks is likely to remain challenging, in particular in respect of credit losses linked to their loan portfolios," according to the document, produced by the EU’s Economic and Financial Committee. The draft document, partially entitled "the effectiveness of financial support measures," will be debated at the next meeting of EU leaders on June 18-19 in Brussels.

Government Pledges
EU governments approved about 311.4 billion euros for capital injections, 2.92 trillion euros for bank liability guarantees, 33 billion euros for relief of impaired assets and 505.6 billion euros for liquidity and bank funding support, a total of 3.77 trillion euros, the document shows.
The U.S. government and the Federal Reserve had spent, lent or committed $12.8 trillion, an amount that approaches the value of everything produced in the country last year, as of March 31.
A majority of new member states including Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Estonia and Lithuania have not taken public measures to support their financial markets, the draft said. Many banks in the region are foreign-owned. More than 80 percent of bank loans in central and eastern Europe come from lenders owned by six western European EU countries, according to Moody’s Investors Service.
All together, the EU paper said that 18 member states have introduced bank liability guarantees, 15 have approved recapitalization measures, and 11 have given liquidity support.

The programs have “contributed to a stabilization of the extremely tense financial market conditions that were witnessed in the autumn of last year,” according to the document. Still, there remain “elevated risk premiums in many parts” of the financial markets and this is “likely to remain challenging.”

High Risk Premiums
The decline of lending in Europe “remains mainly demand- driven, but banks’ balance sheet constraints and limited access to medium- and long-term financing” and high risk premiums “may also have contributed,” according to preliminary ECB analysis, the document said.
Government’s attempts to make banks pledge to increase lending as a condition of taxpayer support may “imply that banks lose one of their credit tools to manage credit risk if no safeguards are established to ensure” that loans are made on commercial terms and with “sound risk management techniques.”
The British government this year secured promises of additional mortgage and business lending from Lloyds Banking Group Plc, Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and Northern Rock Plc in return for aid.

Further Disclosure
The document called on European leaders to seek further disclosure on impaired assets and to restore confidence in the industry. New EU guidelines may require banks in receipt of aid to sell branches or units to win approval for restructuring plans, according to the document. These guidelines could be approved as soon as the end of the month.
Banks in Germany received the third-largest amount in aid, the document showed, for a total of 554.2 billion euros. Commerzbank AG, Germany’s second-biggest bank, was told to sell its Eurohypo commercial property unit by the Commission on May 7 to win approval for a second bailout by the German government.
No additional pundits commentary needed. This story should open the eyes of everybody who can read. I only wonder when European MSM will finally recognize that this crisis rapidly grows into an apocalypse.

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